Archive for the ‘Quantitative Easing’ Category

Nothing About this Economy Is Surprising

Nothing About this Economy Is Surprising“Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” — Albert Einstein

This Einstein platitude is so overused that I’m somewhat embarrassed to be planting it at the beginning of this article. But then I think about how utterly applicable it is to this piteous disaster we still call the global economy, and its presence becomes profoundly justifiable. Read On…

Still, the Dollar is Doomed

the dollar is doomedI get a lot of inquiries about my continued position on the dollar and U.S. debt — mainly because I have so steadfastly and consistently proclaimed that the economy cannot sustain the sort of growth western nations have enjoyed for the last century. And yet stock markets continue to climb, and debt yields remain low. Things seem to be going well, but I maintain that still, the dollar is doomed. My detractors clamor for me to finally and unequivocally admit defeat — to concede that I have been wrong in all my economic prognoses. Read On…

Some Very Interesting Facts About Capitalism

facts about capitalism

Here are some very interesting facts about capitalism:

1.  The term Capitalism was popularized by Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels. They explicitly coined the term to refer to the owners of private wealth. This term is a Communist interpretation of markets — from a decidedly egalitarian perspective. It is based on a context in which governments own a significant portion of the capital in society and the economy. It is incomplete and utterly incompatible with concept of free markets – especially as defined by the Austrian School of Economics.
Read On…

Hedging Against Inflation

Hedging Against InflationInflationary price increases are not coming… they are already here. The Fed wants you to believe that we are still experiencing falling prices, but the Fed also wants to tell you that food (commodities) and energy don’t count. The Fed is lying to you. Let’s have a look at three areas in which you need to start hedging against inflation. Read On…

The Keynesian Solvency Standoff

The Keynesian Solvency Standoff“Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”

— John Maynard Keynes

What, exactly, constitutes “solvency?” I am no fan of Keynes, but why should I be? He even loathed himself by the time he stood before his maker. His theories are preposterous, and he knew it! And with every day that passes, we get ever closer to the inevitable collapse of the American empire, caused by decades of reckless abuse of the financial system by the federal government — all justified by Keynesian theory. The evidence abounds: Read On…

Japan, the U.S., and Quantitative Easing

Japan, The U.S., and Quantitative Easing“When future historians look back on our way of curing inflation, they’ll probably compare it to bloodletting in the Middle Ages.” – Lee Iacocca

Japan, the U.S., and Quantiative Easing…

For those of you who aren’t familiar with quantitative easing: it is the important-sounding way central banks manage the economy through monetary policy. The most common way is by manipulating the rate at which they loan to other banks; when the economy is running too hot, the central bank will raise the rate at which it loans money — thereby discouraging borrowing and capital investment. Likewise, if the economy is in the tank a central bank can lower the rate at which it lends to other banks, thereby encouraging borrowing and capital investment in the economy. Read On…

Fighting the Recession: An Ill Wind Indeed

Fighting the Recession: An Ill Wind Indeed“[It is an] ill wind which blows no man good.” – William Shakespeare

Fighting the recession: an ill wind indeed!

I don’t know what I did before YouTube. With just a few mouse clicks, I can pull up literally hundreds of interviews, editorials, and broadcasts about anything that suits my fancy. And lately, my fancy consists of interviews with some of the most vocal and compelling philosophical, and financial minds daring to speak out against the atrocious fiscal policies the U.S. is employing to battle this economic crisis. Read On…

The Death of the Dollar

The Death of the Dollar“We have experienced asset bubbles, and we now have an economy that is more highly leveraged than it ever has been in the post-World-War II period. Greenspan has been instrumental in bringing about this high leverage.” – Paul Kasriel

“A dollar saved is a quarter earned.” – John Ciardi

I have been an analyst, a portfolio manager, and a financial writer for more than 18 years, and until early last year my focus was almost exclusively on individual stocks and value investing. In my book Discipline, however — which I completed in 2001 and published in 2007 – I took a more macro stance, predicting an economic collapse resulting in the death of the dollar and a Soviet-style break up of the country. Read On…

We Are Not Experiencing Consumer-driven Deflation

We Are Not Experiencing Consumer-driven Deflation“Inflation is the senility of democracies” – Sylvia Townsend Warner

If you ask the average person to define inflation, you invariably get this response: “Rising prices.” Similarly, the same person would likely define deflation as “falling prices.” But both answers are incorrect; in fact they are gross misrepresentations of the words. And this simple but popular misconception is the root of every single economic problem we face today: we are not experiencing consumer-driven deflation. Read On…

The Intrinsic Value of Nothing, Part Two

Intrinsic Value of Nothing“There is no such thing as prices outside the market. Prices cannot be constructed synthetically, as it were…

It is ultimately always the subjective value judgments of individuals that determine the formation of prices…”

— Ludwig von Mises, Human Action

“During thousands of years, in all parts of the inhabited earth, innumerable sacrifices have been made to the chimera of just and reasonable prices.” – Ludwig von Mises, The Theory of Money and Credit

In my previous article (Part One of this two-part series), I discussed the fallacy of intrinsic value – especially as it relates to the U.S. dollar, and the shell game the federal government has been playing for the last hundred years or so. In the tornado of debate, castigation, and general mayhem that ensued, some good points emerged – not the least significant of which was the observation that there is a difference between exchange value and use (or utilitarian) value. Read On…

The Intrinsic Value of Nothing, Part One

Intrinsic Value of Nothing“Action is purposive conduct. It is not simply behavior, but behavior begot by judgments of value, aiming at a definite end and guided by ideas concerning the suitability or unsuitability of definite means. . . . It is conscious behavior. It is choosing. It is volition; it is a display of the will.” – Ludwig von Mises

Reach in your wallet, and pull out a dollar bill. Look at it for a moment. Now ask yourself, what is this worth? Next, consider the intrinsic value of nothing — because the idea that anything has “intrinsic value” is a fallacy. Read On…

Outpacing Inflation

Outpacing Inflation“Excess capacity is temporarily suppressing global prices. But I see inflation as the greater future challenge.” – Alan Greenspan, June 25, 2009

“The US economy may witness double-digit inflation in a few years unless the central bank tightens up its monetary policy… Unless we roll in this whole degree of expansion, we will be in trouble… I am not talking 3-5 per cent inflation, I am talking double-digit inflation in the US.” – Alan Greenspan, September 9, 2009

Alan Greenspan was, in his prime, an economist nonpareil. Recently, however, he shocked many of us by submitting to a political machine that needed to find a scapegoat for the recent economic nightmare. Read On…

Short the USA

Short the USA“By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.” – John Maynard Keynes

I am lucky to have friends. But it’s not merely the number of people I can count among their ranks that makes me lucky — it is the sheer magnitude of their knowledge and experience. And yet at the same time, my friends — in the aggregate — exhibit a remarkably wide array of beliefs and perspectives. I endure a lot of criticism from them for my theories — most notably my belief in the imminent failure of our current economic system, and the fact that (at least financially), I am short the USA. Read On…