q Major Stock Market Crash Ahead? Comparing 1929 to Now | The Bottom Violation

technical video comparing dow jones in 1929 and nowThis is a terrifying video comparing the 1929 stock market collapse to the current economic environment (click chart for video). Is another equity implosion on the way? Consider these facts:

In 1929, the United States was on the gold standard. The country was a manufacturing giant. Debt levels were insignificant. Credit cards didn’t even exist.

Today, the United States has lost most of its manufacturing base. Consumer debt is at all time highs. There is no gold backing the dollar. The government’s debt levels are unprecedented. Add to all of this the reprehensible and reckless policy of quantitative easing — whereby authorities all over the globe are printing massive sums of money, and easing credit to levels never before seen — and you have a recipe for disaster.

All of this leads me to maintain that we are on the cusp of an inflationary economic holocaust most people simply can’t fathom. This video helps bear bear out my concerns from a technical perspective.

www.BottomViolation.com



                        

 

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Disclosures: Paco is long TBT, UCO, and gold. He also holds U.S. dollars by necessity, pending the advent of private gold-backed currencies.

You can buy his novel Discipline wherever books are sold.



19 Comments so far

  1. Billy on February 10, 2010 9:58 pm

    you sir, are and idiot…

  2. Hunter on February 10, 2010 10:09 pm

    @billy: it was an intelligent theory and just because you can't understand it doesn't mean that you must discount it… also, proof read what you type so that you don't look like an imbecile yourself.

    @Paco: if your theory is correct i think that i may want to have my next couple of pay checks cashed in all one dollar bills so that i can at least have something to burn when it's cold.

  3. Paco Ahlgren on February 10, 2010 10:35 pm

    I wish I had a euro for every time I've been called an idiot. I'd have a lot of euros.

  4. Paco Ahlgren on February 10, 2010 10:36 pm

    I wish I had a euro for every time I've been called an idiot. I'd have a lot of euros.

  5. Hunter on February 11, 2010 12:26 am

    i wish i had a euro for everytime that someone “flamed” someone because they (the flamer) didn't know what they were talking about. i would be able to move out of texas. You still live in texas don't you?

  6. Paco Ahlgren on February 11, 2010 12:38 am

    Yep. Still in Texas…

  7. Graham and Dodd Investor on February 11, 2010 3:00 am

    That's why we distrusted the recent rally; too symptomatic of 1929.

  8. The EconomicJoker on February 11, 2010 9:39 pm

    It's a necessary cycle in human history. It must get so bad that people are ripped from office and riots occur, tearing down the old and bringing in the new.

    Just prepare as best you can.

  9. BUZZER on February 11, 2010 10:15 pm

    I recommend packing one's auriferous possessions, argentiferous utensils, canned foods, jerry cans, clothing and family and head for the back country to do some camping.

  10. Papaswamp on February 11, 2010 10:42 pm

    I'm hanging out in suburbia….I'm a adrenalin junky…I need action.

  11. dhansen54 on February 12, 2010 12:33 am

    Listen up, Economic Joker. What you say is no joke but it will happen any way.
    Having said that, my only hope is that it will all unfold in such a manner as to allow me to profit from it.

  12. Donald Ingram on February 12, 2010 9:23 pm

    To know where you are going, firstly know where you have been.
    History is indeed a non-compassionate teacher. You either learn the lessons, or you are cursed to repeat them.
    There is a confluence of events about to descend upon the globes financial sector, effecting all economies of the globe.
    - Sovereign debt defaults
    - Market crashes
    - Currency implosions
    - Supply stoppages
    - Food shortages
    - Political unrest
    - Friction amongst nations
    - Social fabric breakdown
    - War, possibly on a global scale

    I know. I know. Too much doom & gloom. This is the way I see events unfolding, unless there is a MAJOR turn around. And I mean MAJOR! Without that – it's best to be prepared.

  13. BUZZER on February 12, 2010 9:45 pm

    Donald Ingram: A prudent person would take your list and develop a contingency plan for each item.

    So I'll reiterate your list with additions of what to do.

    Sovereign debt defaults — Buy gold
    Market Crashes — Diversify globally
    Currency Implosions — Buy gold
    Supply stoppages — Start a small business
    Food shortages — Fill freezers and pantries
    Political unrest — Move outside of major cities
    Friction amongst nations — Nil
    Social fabric breakdown — Acquire a guard dog
    War, possibly on a global scale — Nil

  14. PacoAhlgren on February 14, 2010 8:23 pm

    TEST 2

  15. PacoAhlgren on February 14, 2010 8:23 pm

    TEST

  16. Alex on April 6, 2010 6:45 am

    I rarly comment on blogs but I really like yours.Its hard to find good bloggers these days … everyone seems to be doing it for the $$:(

  17. Leonel on May 8, 2010 6:23 pm

    Diversification is key to have a successful portfolio within the Stock Market.
    "Don't put all your eggs in one basket".
    My recent post “Revolvers”

  18. Leonel on September 25, 2010 11:37 pm

    Diversification is key to have a successful portfolio within the Stock Market.
    "Don't put all your eggs in one basket".
    My recent post “Revolvers”

  19. Lee on February 1, 2011 1:17 pm

    How rude to come to someones blog and call them an idiot. Surprised that comment even made it through!

    Personally, I think you are correct. Since you wrote this in March, I imagine this prediction has started coming true in ways you didn't imagine. The US tried the old, have a war to generate revenue once again, except this time it failed miserably.
    My recent post How An Asset Based Loan Can Help Your Business

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